Commodity, Currency, Gold, and Equity Market Analysis by Dr. Christian Normann  
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Gold Comment - FINAL ORIGINAL CHANNEL RESISTANCE BROKEN - TREND ACCELERATION LIKELY IMMINENT - Friday August 5th 2011

Since the significant low in February 2010, we have been looking for the rally out of that low to continue roughly to the top of the dark blue trend channel (that we first suggested in 2009) before the next significant (~15% or more) correction. $1900-$2050 now looks like a very plausible minimum target range for the February 2010 to present move.

This week (ending Friday August 5th 2011) saw gold closing above the last channel/resistance line from the old 1999 to 2011 uptrend channel.  A sharp move up looks very  likely.

We expect the upper orange channel line to act as major support now that gold's uptrend finally appears to have initiated its phase of acceleration.  The next correction is likely to bottom >no lower< than around the top of the orange channel.


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Always remember that proper risk management is essential - without it, you can be entirely correct regarding the main trend, yet you would still be likely (nearly certain in fact) to sooner or later blow up your account.

 

           

 

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